POLITICO Playbook PM: One thing is going on with Rod Rosenstein

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SOMETHING IS HAPPENING WITH ROD ROSENSTEIN. That appears clear. AXIOS’ JONATHAN SWAN is reporting Rosenstein — the No. 2 at DOJ, who oversees the Russia probe — has supplied his resignation. Others are reporting it’s in flux.

— THE AXIOS STORY: “Deputy Lawyer Basic Rod Rosenstein has verbally ‘supplied to resign’ in discussions with White Home Chief of Workers Kelly, in response to a supply near Rosenstein, however as of now, it’s unclear whether or not his resignation has been accepted. The supply mentioned it’s doable nothing occurs right this moment.” Axios

BUT, BUT, BUT — JOSH GERSTEIN (@joshgerstein): “BOIL TO SIMMER? Rosenstein hasn’t resigned and hasn’t been fired but, a supply acquainted says. Attending an NSC principals committee assembly proper now at WH, supply says.”

— NBC’S PETE WILLIAMS says Rosenstein continues to be deputy AG.

STATEMENT FROM THE WHITE HOUSE: “On the request of Deputy Lawyer Basic Rod Rosenstein, he and President Trump had an prolonged dialog to debate the current information tales. As a result of the President is on the United Nations Basic Meeting and has a full schedule with leaders from all over the world, they may meet on Thursday when the President returns to Washington, D.C.”

— NOTE: Trump and Rosenstein meet Thursday. Kavanaugh’s listening to is scheduled for Thursday. Trump is elevating thousands and thousands for the NRCC Thursday. Thursday might be a giant day.

IF HE GOES … FIRED VS. RESIGNED. That is going to be a giant debate over the subsequent few days. Swan is as sourced as anyone on the White Home beat, so this might seem like a fairly agency report. If Rosenstein is fired, that might be politically poisonous to many on Capitol Hill.

— THE PRACTICAL DIFFERENCE: Trump can use the Vacancies Act to nominate somebody to be deputy legal professional normal if Rosenstein does, certainly, resign. (That individual wouldn’t, nevertheless, mechanically oversee the Russia probe.) If not, there’s a line of succession that might seemingly place Noel Francisco as DAG.

WAPO’S DEVLIN BARRETT, ASHLEY PARKER and CAROL LEONNIG: “One Trump adviser mentioned the president has not been pressuring Rosenstein to go away the job, however his resignation had been a subject of personal discussions all weekend. The individual mentioned Rosenstein had expressed to others that he ought to resign as a result of he ‘felt very compromised’ and was now a possible witness within the Russia probe quite than a supervisor, in response to an individual near Trump.” WaPo

FLASHBACK — JOSH GERSTEIN on April 13: “What occurs if Trump fires Rosenstein?
Ousting the deputy legal professional normal is broadly seen as a technique to eradicate the Russia investigation overseen by Robert Mueller”: POLITICO

— @SenatorLeahy: “Saturday Evening Massacres don’t must occur on a Saturday. If President Trump fires DAG Rod Rosenstein or forces his resignation, he’ll come one big leap nearer to straight meddling with the Particular Counsel’s Russia investigation. …

… “It’s extra pressing than ever that the Senate move S.2644, the bipartisan invoice to guard the independence of the Particular Counsel. If we don’t defend the rule of legislation in these moments, we threat shedding it.”

THE LATEST ON KAVANAUGH — “Trump and GOP allies hit again at new accusations,” by John Bresnahan, Eliana Johnson and Rebecca Morin: “With Kavanaugh’s destiny hanging within the stability, the White Home is altering techniques, occurring the offensive to save lots of its embattled decide for the excessive court docket … ‘For individuals to come back out of the woodwork from 36 years in the past and 30 years in the past and — by no means talked about it, swiftly it occurs — in my view, it’s completely political. It’s completely political,’ Trump mentioned.” POLITICO

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— VOX’S ZACK BEAUCHAMP: “Brett Kavanaugh and the Supreme Court docket’s looming legitimacy disaster”: “The American public has lengthy had a deep and abiding religion within the Supreme Court docket because the final say in our public authorized disputes. … However lately, the general public has soured considerably on the Court docket. … Now consultants say the political firestorm surrounding Kavanaugh’s nomination might tip this pattern towards a full-blown disaster. …

“If the Court docket loses legitimacy, both with the general public as a complete or with one explicit social gathering, then political actors could be tempted to disregard it — which has occurred earlier than.” Vox

Good Monday afternoon. THE NEW YORKER’S JANE MAYER: “How Russia Helped Swing the Election for Trump”: “Few individuals, together with Trump’s opponents, have publicly challenged the widespread perception that no obtainable proof can show that Russian interference modified any votes. … ‘Cyberwar: How Russian Hackers and Trolls Helped Elect a President—What We Don’t, Can’t, and Do Know,’ by Kathleen Corridor Jamieson … dares to ask—and even makes an attempt to reply—whether or not Russian meddling had a decisive impression in 2016. Jamieson affords a forensic evaluation of the out there proof and concludes that Russia very seemingly delivered Trump’s victory. …

“Her case relies on a rising physique of information concerning the digital warfare waged by Russian trolls and hackers—whom she phrases ‘discourse saboteurs’—and on 5 many years’ price of educational research about what sorts of persuasion can affect voters, and below what circumstances. … Jamieson makes a powerful case that, in 2016, ‘Russian masterminds’ pulled off a technological and political coup. Furthermore, she concludes, the American media ‘inadvertently helped them obtain their objectives.’” The New Yorker$16.96 on Amazon

THE INVESTIGATIONS — “Roger Stone sought contact with WikiLeaks’ Julian Assange, e mail suggests,” by ABC’s Ali Dukakis: “The July 31, 2016, e mail seems to be an express try by Stone to attach with Assange utilizing [Jerome] Corsi and [Ted] Malloch as intermediaries. … The e-mail was despatched simply 9 days after WikiLeaks made public the primary batch of stolen Democratic Celebration paperwork allegedly obtained by hacker Guccifer 2.0, later recognized as Russian state hackers. It seems to bolster the assertion that Stone, a distinguished Trump ally, was making an attempt to speak with Assange concerning the politically explosive leaks.” ABC

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IN TURTLE BAY … Trump instructed reporters on the U.N. this morning {that a} second summit with Kim Jong Un would seemingly occur “fairly quickly.”

AND AT A “GLOBAL CALL to Motion on the World Drug Downside,” he described the drug commerce as “the lifeblood for vicious trans-national cartels” and referred to as for efforts to finish trafficking and bolster habit remedy. He additionally moderated his tone on the U.N. itself: “I’ve all the time mentioned the United Nations has large potential, and that potential is being met. Slowly however absolutely, it’s being met.”

— “AP assessment: Drug costs hold going up regardless of Trump strain,” by Linda A. Johnson and Nicky Forster: AP

2018 WATCH — “A G.O.P. Senate Candidate Highlights His Drug Trade Profession. Ought to He?” by NYT’s Katie Thomas and Nick Corasaniti: Bob “Hugin, a Republican mounting a surprisingly sturdy problem to Senator Robert Menendez in New Jersey, has made his profession at Celgene a cornerstone of his marketing campaign, with tv ads boasting that he ‘selected a lifetime of service’ within the Marines and ‘main a well being care firm that develops most cancers medication.’ …

“However Mr. Hugin’s skilled profession might additionally show to be a legal responsibility … An examination of Celgene’s aggressive promotion of Revlimid and its predecessor, Thalomid, whereas Mr. Hugin was a prime government on the firm, together with its chief government for six years, reveals most of the controversial monetary and authorized techniques which have tarnished the business’s fame, from advertising and marketing medicine for unapproved makes use of to elevating costs and preventing off generic rivals.” NYT

— MCCLATCHY’S KATIE GLUECK: “Veterans are operating as Democrats, and the GOP is scrambling to reply”

TRADE WARS — BEN WHITE: “Trump’s commerce wars begin biting GOP forward of midterms”: “The financial fallout from Trump’s skirmishes with China, Canada, Mexico and the European Union threat making an already robust cycle for Republicans much more brutal …

“The most recent impression will start to hit Monday as new 10 p.c tariffs Trump slapped on over $200 billion in imports from China are scheduled to enter impact. … Economists count on that to translate into greater costs for customers throughout the nation and particular ache for low-to-middle-income voters who make up a lot of Trump’s base — and are least in a position to take up elevated prices for shopper items from air conditioners to clothes and furnishings.” POLITICO

— “China Says Trump Administration Is a Commerce Bully as New Tariffs Take Impact,” by WSJ’s James T. Areddy in Shanghai and Lingling Wei in Beijing: WSJ

ON THE WORLD STAGE — “China Is Confronting New U.S. Hostility. However Is It Prepared for the Combat?” by NYT’s Jane Perlez in Beijing: “China has abruptly canceled not solely commerce talks that had been deliberate this week in Washington but in addition military-to-military talks scheduled to start Tuesday. … Because the acrimony and rivalry with the USA have intensified, the fast fear in Beijing is how the Chinese language public, accustomed to a fast-expanding financial system, will deal with the commerce warfare, and what impression it may need on the ruling Communist Celebration’s overriding concern of home stability.” NYT

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HMM … “Turkish Intel Will Run ‘Operations’ In opposition to Political Opponents On U.S. Soil, Erdogan Spokesman Says,” by The Every day Caller’s Chuck Ross: The Every day Caller

RACHAEL BADE: “Girls’s caucus rebels in opposition to Pelosi’s grip”: “A battle is underway for management of the Democratic Girls’s Working Group, a little-known caucus aiming to vastly increase its profile and affect within the subsequent Congress. Pelosi and her allies deny the combat is about her. However the mini-rebellion is rising as one other check of the minority chief’s newly strained maintain on energy …

“[T]he battle comes all the way down to whether or not to carry a full-fledged, open election to resolve the ladies’s caucus’ subsequent chief. It’s a sore topic for a gaggle that’s ‘been below Pelosi’s thumb,’ as one lawmaker put it.” POLITICO

NYT’S MARGOT SANGER-KATZ: “One Massive Downside With Medicaid Work Requirement: Individuals Are Unaware It Exists”: “Arkansas is the primary state to check a piece requirement, a coverage that the administration has inspired … The early outcomes recommend that the incentives could not work the best way officers had hoped. Arkansas officers, making an attempt to reduce protection losses, successfully exempted two-thirds of the eligible individuals from having to report work hours.

“Of the remaining third — about 20,000 individuals — 16,000 didn’t report qualifying actions to the state. Only one,200 individuals, about 2 p.c of these eligible for the requirement, instructed the state they’d carried out sufficient of the required actions in August.” NYT

SPOTTED: U.S. Ambassador to Germany Richard Grenell on the Bräurosl tent at Oktoberfest in Munich on Sunday. Pic … Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) on American Airways Flight 4591 from Burlington to DCA this afternoon.

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — STATE DEPARTMENT ARRIVAL LOUNGE — per Daniel Lippman and Ted Hesson: Tom DiNanno begins subsequent Monday as deputy assistant secretary for arms management, verification and compliance. He’s at the moment FEMA’s assistant administrator for grant packages, ran the transition on the Trump Division of Homeland Safety’s Nationwide Safety and Applications Directorate and labored as a deputy assistant secretary for vital infrastructure within the Bush DHS.

ENGAGED — Evan Philipson, AIPAC’s Florida political director, on Saturday proposed to Gaby Blyumin, a pediatric scientific pharmacist at Miami Youngsters’s Hospital. Evan rented a ship in Miami and proposed on the water throughout sundown. Pic (h/t Grant Dubler)

WEEKEND WEDDINGS — Ryan Heath, POLITICO Europe’s political editor and former Brussels Playbook creator, wed Zachery Bishop, a tech PR guide for BSA and Amazon at Cambre Associates, in a ceremony in Hydra, Greece. ABC’s Tara Palmeri received an “epic” bouquet toss. Pic One other pic The bouquet toss (h/t Brussels Playbook)

— Allyson Neville, affiliate director for worldwide humanitarian response coverage and advocacy at Save the Youngsters and former lobbyist for the Pals Committee on Nationwide Laws, married Spencer Wahrman, a picture scientist at MTEQ, on Saturday in Charlottesville, Va. PicOne other pic

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